The RBA’s decision on 7 May 2024 to leave the cash rate at 4.35 per cent p.a. was only the latest variable in a calculus that has shifted sharply against anyone collecting Qantas Points without a serious spreadsheet. On 22 November 2023, Qantas Frequent Flyer increased Classic Reward seat prices on partner airlines by up to 15 per cent—a single change that stripped roughly one cent of redemption value from every point earned, according to OzFlyer’s repricing model. While that program devaluation was unfolding, card issuers were quietly shaving earn rates. Citi reset its Premier card’s uncapped Qantas Points earn from 1 point to 0.8 points per A$1 on 15 April 2024, and American Express cut the Qantas Ultimate Card’s annual points cap from A$200,000 to A$150,000 on 23 May 2024. With annual fees on premium cards now reaching A$450 and interest on revolving balances compounding at up to 23.99 per cent p.a., the premium earn rates that look generous on a brochure can quickly turn negative when netted out. This analysis runs the numbers on every major Australian credit card capable of transferring into Qantas Points—direct earners, Amex Membership Rewards, Citi ThankYou, and Westpac Altitude—to determine the precise effective earn per dollar. No rounded figures, no assumptions about spend that you won’t actually do. The results reflect the latest program updates and cap changes as of 1 August 2024.
The uncapped earn: points per dollar stripped of fees
Three broad families feed Qantas Points: co-branded cards that credit directly, flexible rewards programs that transfer at fixed rates, and a handful of Visa/Mastercard products with negotiated convertibility. The first order calculation is simple points per A$1 domestic spend before any annual fee offset or cap consideration.
Direct-earn Qantas cards
As of 1 August 2024, these are the pure-play options:
- American Express Qantas Ultimate Card — 1.25 Qantas Points per A$1 spent on everyday purchases, uncapped until 23 May 2024 when an A$150,000 per-annum cap was introduced (American Express Qantas Ultimate product terms, effective 23 May 2024). For spend above the cap, earn drops to 0.75 Qantas Points per A$1.
- NAB Qantas Rewards Signature Card — On 1 March 2024, NAB re‑priced the uncapped tier: the card now earns 0.75 Qantas Points per A$1 on the first A$50,000 of annual spend, then 0.5 points per A$1 beyond that (NAB Qantas Rewards Program Update, 1 March 2024). Annual fee remains A$295.
- ANZ Frequent Flyer Black — Delivers 1 Qantas Point per A$1 on the first A$7,500 of spend per statement period, then 0.5 points per A$1 uncapped (ANZ product disclosure, current at 1 March 2024). The annual fee is A$425, which includes a Qantas Club membership renewal.
- Citi Premier Card — Effective 15 April 2024, earn rate was reduced to 0.8 Qantas Points per A$1 on domestic spend, uncapped (Citi Rewards Program Update, 15 April 2024). The annual fee is A$350 and includes one complimentary airport lounge pass per year.
- Westpac Altitude Qantas Platinum — 0.75 Qantas Points per A$1, uncapped, with an annual fee of A$200 (Westpac Altitude Qantas terms, effective 1 June 2024).
Flexible rewards programs that transfer to Qantas
- American Express Membership Rewards (MR) — All MR cards transfer to Qantas at a blanket rate of 2 MR points = 1 Qantas Point. The Qantas Ultimate is a direct-earn product, so MR is a separate universe. Key MR cards include the Platinum Edge (3 MR points per A$1 at major supermarkets and petrol stations, equating to 1.5 Qantas Points per A$1) and the Explorer (2 MR points per A$1 on travel and most other spend, equating to 1 Qantas Point per A$1). The latest transfer guide (American Express MR partner terms, 1 January 2024) confirms no category exclusions on Qantas redemptions.
- Citi ThankYou Rewards — The Premier card, despite its Qantas direct-earn cut, also offers Citi ThankYou points that transfer to Qantas at 2:1. However, the uncapped earn is 0.8 ThankYou points per A$1, which translates to 0.4 Qantas Points per A$1. This route is almost always inferior to the direct earn.
- Westpac Altitude Rewards — Westpac’s non‑Qantas flavour can be converted at 2 Altitude points = 1 Qantas Point. The Altitude Platinum card earns 1 Altitude point per A$1 on domestic spend, making the effective Qantas earn 0.5 points per A$1. The Westpac Altitude Black earns 1.5 Altitude points per A$1 on international spend, translating to 0.75 Qantas Points per A$1 abroad.
The annual fee drag: how much spend to break even
A card that pays you 1.25 Qantas Points per dollar but costs A$450 per year requires a minimum annual spend just to offset the fee. If you value Qantas Points at 1.3 Australian cents each—a fair redemption benchmark after the November 2023 devaluation—every dollar spent on the Amex Qantas Ultimate returns 1.625 cents in point value. The fee equals 27,692 points (A$450 divided by 1.625 cents), so the break‑even before any other benefits is A$22,154 in annual spend (27,692 points ÷ 1.25 points per dollar). Below that, you are paying the bank for the privilege of collecting points. For the NAB Signature with its A$295 fee and 0.75 points per dollar, the fee equates to 22,692 points, needing A$30,256 in annual spend at the 1.3 cent valuation. The ANZ FF Black break‑even is A$32,692 using the same logic.
Companion card strategies
Some cardholders pair a premium Amex with a no‑annual‑fee Visa/Mastercard that earns Qantas Points on venues that decline American Express. The Qantas Discovery card (NAB‑issued, A$0 annual fee) earns 0.75 Qantas Points per A$1. That combination shifts the blended earn rate lower but eliminates the non‑acceptance discount. If Amex acceptance is, say, 60 per cent of your spend, the blended earn on A$50,000 total spend becomes:
- Amex Qantas Ultimate: A$30,000 × 1.25 points = 37,500 points
- Discovery: A$20,000 × 0.75 points = 15,000 points
- Total: 52,500 points, net fee A$450, for an effective 1.05 points per A$1 and a break‑even of A$33,000.
Bonus categories that change the game
Supermarket and fuel accelerators
Few direct Qantas cards offer multiplier categories; the acceleration mostly lives in flexible programs. The Amex Platinum Edge earns 3 MR points per A$1 at major supermarkets and petrol stations (capped at A$3,000 per month), which translates to 1.5 Qantas Points per A$1—the highest supermarket earn in the market when converted. For a household spending A$1,500 per month on groceries, that delivers 27,000 MR points (13,500 Qantas Points) annually, with a A$195 annual fee. Break‑even on supermarket spend alone requires just A$15,000 per year, well within typical household budgets. The card also earns 2 MR points (1 Qantas Point) on most other spend.
International spend and surcharges
Overseas spend on Australian cards usually attracts a foreign transaction fee of 2.5–3 per cent. The Citi Premier card, post‑devaluation, earns 0.8 Qantas Points per A$1 and charges a 2.5 per cent fee. With Qantas Points worth 1.3 cents each, the effective return is 1.04 cents per dollar—less than half the fee, meaning you are losing 1.46 cents per dollar on every A$100 spent abroad. The Amex Qantas Ultimate has a 3 per cent surcharge and earns 1.25 points (1.625 cents), again a net loss. For international spend, a no‑foreign‑transaction‑fee card that earns transferable points remains essential, but the earn rates tend to be lower: the 28 Degrees Mastercard earns no points at all, for example. The trade‑off is stark and no Qantas‑earning card offers a net positive international earn rate without category multipliers.
Devaluation watch: what changed and why it matters
Qantas November 2023 partner award repricing
On 22 November 2023, Qantas increased the number of points required for business‑class Classic Rewards on oneworld partners such as Cathay Pacific and Qatar Airways. A Sydney–London seat that had cost 139,000 points moved to 160,000 points—a 15.1 per cent increase. Sydney–Los Angeles went from 96,000 to 110,400. This compressed the redemption value per point: assuming a A$1,500 return fare to Los Angeles, the valuation dropped from 1.5625 cents to 1.3587 cents. For premium cabins, the decline is larger because the cash counterparts are costlier, but the base dilution applies across the program. Every card’s earn rate, in real terms, lost 15 per cent of its buying power for the most aspirational redemptions.
Issuer earn-rate cuts in 2024
The Citi Premier cut on 15 April 2024 from 1 point to 0.8 removed one‑fifth of the card’s earning power overnight, compounding the Qantas devaluation. A cardholder who spent A$60,000 per year previously earned 60,000 points (worth roughly A$935 at 1.5625 cents). Now they earn 48,000 points worth A$652, a 30.3 per cent drop in effective purchasing power. NAB’s move to 0.75 points on its Signature card on 1 March 2024 trimmed the headline earn by 25 per cent. The Amex Ultimate card’s new cap, while leaving the 1.25 rate untouched, forces high‑spend users to either throttle back or accept a lower blended rate, effectively a devaluation for anyone spending over A$150,000 per year. Combined, these moves mean the average Qantas‑linked credit card now yields roughly 0.85 points per A$1 after caps, down from 1.05 a year earlier.
Transfer rate stability
Flexible programs have not changed their transfer ratios: Amex MR remains 2:1, Citi ThankYou 2:1, Westpac Altitude 2:1. However, the value of those transfers has fallen in lockstep with Qantas’s award repricing. A Platinum Edge card earning 3 MR points at supermarkets still yields 1.5 Qantas Points per A$1, but those points now buy 1.3587 cents of value versus 1.5625 cents before November. That’s a 13 per cent reduction in the real return. The only way to offset it is to shift redemption patterns—toward Qantas‑operated Classic Rewards, which saw smaller increases—or to pool points into programs with stable award charts, such as Velocity, where transfer rates from Amex and Citi remain at 2:1 and 2:1 respectively and where no partner devaluation has occurred in 2024.
Actionable takeaways
- Run the break‑even number on any card with an annual fee of A$200 or higher. If your annual spend is below A$30,000 and you don’t benefit from the travel credits or lounge access, a no‑fee card with 0.75 points per dollar will often leave more points in your account than a premium card whose fee drag erases the higher earn.
- Use supermarket acceleration via Amex Platinum Edge and transfer to Qantas only when you need a specific redemption. The 1.5 Qantas Points per A$1 on groceries is unmatched, but the redemption value has fallen; consider hoarding MR points and transferring only when Qantas Classic Rewards open up on Qantas‑operated metal, where the devaluation was milder.
- On international spend, accept that no Qantas‑earning card produces a positive return after surcharges. Use a no‑FX‑fee card and buy points during Qantas’s infrequent 50 per cent bonus promotions instead—the effective cost per point (often around 1.5 Australian cents) can be lower than the net loss from overseas surcharges.
- Recalculate the real value of your points at 1.3 cents each, not the outdated 1.5–1.8 cent figures. Adjust all redemption goals accordingly, and factor the 15 per cent partner award inflation into your card selection. A card that earned 100,000 points last year may now need to earn 115,000 just to deliver the same trip.
- Monitor issuer program pages weekly. The Citi and NAB changes arrived with just 30 days’ notice. Set a calendar reminder for the first business day of each month to review the earn rates on ozflyer.com and ensure your wallet hasn’t been devalued while you were swiping.